An Eco-epidemiological Model for Newcastle Disease in Central Zone of Tanzania

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dc.contributor.authorHugo, Alfred
dc.contributor.authorOluwole, Daniel Makinde
dc.contributor.authorKumar, Santosh
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-07T12:38:39Z
dc.date.available2018-09-07T12:38:39Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.descriptionAccepteden_US
dc.description.abstractNewcastle disease is contagious bird disease which affects main domestic and wild avian species. A deterministic compartmental model for Newcastle disease (ND) is developed and analysed using ordinary differential equation theory. The uncertainties of model parameters were therefore examined using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations for the data of chicken death cases due to Newcastle disease from five districts in two regions in Tanzania. The parameter distribution was tested using MCMC convergence diagnostics. The graphical diagnostic test for MCMC used include Trace plots or time series plot, two-dimensional parameter plots and autocorrelation function plots. Hence, model parameters were successfully estimated for numerical simulations and the results of simulations were presented.en_US
dc.identifier.issn1752-5063
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11810/4832
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherInder Science Publishersen_US
dc.subjectEco-epidemiology; Newcastle Disease; Parameter estimationen_US
dc.titleAn Eco-epidemiological Model for Newcastle Disease in Central Zone of Tanzaniaen_US
dc.typeJournal Article, Peer Revieweden_US
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