Indigenous knowledge in seasonal rainfall prediction in Tanzania: A case of the South-western Highland of Tanzania

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dc.contributor.authorChang’a, L. B.
dc.contributor.authorYanda, Pius Z.
dc.contributor.authorNgana, J. O.
dc.date.accessioned2016-03-11T07:53:07Z
dc.date.available2016-03-11T07:53:07Z
dc.date.issued2010-04-01
dc.descriptionFull text available at http://search.proquest.com/openview/c37e2519021a867311275c213dc68008/1?pq-origsite=gscholaren_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper describes how farmers in the South-western Highland of Tanzania predict rainfall using local environmental indicators and astronomical factors. The perceptions of the local communities on conventional weather and climate forecasts were also assessed. The study was conducted in Rungwe and Kilolo districts in Mbeya and Iringa regions respectively. Participatory rural appraisal methods, key informant interviews and focus group discussions were used in data collection and the collected data was analyzed using Statistical package for social science. It has been found that plant phenology is widely used by local communities in both districts in seasonal rainfall forecasting. Early and significant flowering of Mihemi (Erythrina abyssinica) and Mikwe (Brachystegia speciformis) trees from July to November has been identified to be one of the signals of good rainfall season. The behaviour of Dudumizi bird has been singled out as one of the best indicator for rainfall. Both Indigenous Knowledge specialists and TMA experts have predicted 2009/2010 rainfall season to feature normal to above normal rainfall. Systematic documentation and subsequent integration of indigenous knowledge into conventional weather forecasting system is recommended as one of the strategy that could help to improve the accuracy of seasonal rainfall forecasts under a changing climate.en_US
dc.identifier.citationChang'a, L.B., Yanda, P.Z. and Ngana, J., 2010. Indigenous knowledge in seasonal rainfall prediction in Tanzania: A case of the South-western Highland of Tanzania. Journal of Geography and Regional Planning, 3(4), p.66.en_US
dc.identifier.issn2070-1845
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/851
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherJournal of Geography and Regional Planningen_US
dc.subjectClimate variabilityen_US
dc.subjectSeasonal forecastingen_US
dc.subjectEl Ninoen_US
dc.subjectIndigenous knowledgeen_US
dc.subjectDudumizien_US
dc.subjectTanzaniaen_US
dc.titleIndigenous knowledge in seasonal rainfall prediction in Tanzania: A case of the South-western Highland of Tanzaniaen_US
dc.typeJournal Article, Peer Revieweden_US
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